by Calculated Risk on 5/05/2022 08:45:00 PM
o At 8:30 AM ET, Employment Report for April. The consensus is for 400,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 3.6%.
On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated66.2%—>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)219.9—>=2321New Cases per Day3?61,71250,531<=5,0002Hospitalized3?12,43710,931<=3,0002Deaths per Day3?325311<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Goal met.
This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of deaths reported.New cases have more than doubled from the recent low, and hospitalizations and deaths are increasing week-over-week.
Average daily deaths bottomed in July 2021 at 214 per day.