Zillow Case-Shiller House Price Forecast: 20% YoY in March

While these challenging conditions might be expected to drain the pool of buyers, and may still do so eventually, there are signs the market remains very competitive. Listings are going pending after about a week on the market and a large share of homes are continuing to sell above their asking price. Existing home sales have trended below 2021 levels, but that appears to be more a function of low inventory than a lack of demand. There are fewer than half the number of homes on the market than at this time in 2019 – the last comparable period prior to the pandemic – yet sales continue to trend above pre-pandemic levels. Changes in inventory and affordability will remain key to the housing decisions of prospective buyers in the months ahead.

Annual home price growth as reported by Case-Shiller are expected to accelerate in the national and 10-city indices and slow slightly in the 20-city index. Monthly appreciation in March is expected to decelerate from February in both city indices, and hold in the national index. S&P Dow Jones Indices is expected to release data for the March S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices on Tuesday, May 31.
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